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Best Bets 6/28/2024

Writer: Mason DalleyMason Dalley

Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers(ML)

Cleveland Guardians(-1.5) @ Kansas City Royals

Texas Rangers @ Baltimore Orioles(-1.5)

MLB Best Bet Season Record: 58-69

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These are Best Bets on 3 of the best ATS teams in the MLB. I will be continuing to make my best bets on teams that are great ATS until further notice.



Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers(ML)

DK -105

FD -108


The Cubs are 38-45 straight up and 38-45 ATS. Even though Justin Steele is quite solid he's been feasting off of some bad offenses and the Cubs offense has been anemic for a while now. I think Tobias Myers and company will be good enough to keep the Cubs offense down and the Brewers can tag Steele for at least 3 runs before getting to chase the bullpen. The Brew Crew is 49-33 straight up and 46-36 ATS after all.



Cleveland Guardians(-1.5) @ Kansas City Royals

DK +154

FD +158


I Don't think Guard Dawgs lose 3 in a row. Especially with Tanner Bibee on the mound against a team that struggles hitting non fastballs. Bibee's slider and changeup are weapons with induced BA/SLG of .135/.236 and .179/.299 respectively. The Hook isn't too bad either with a .209 BA against, but when contact is made it gets taken for a ride with the .465 SLG. I say all of this to say that 20th against the 4SEAM fastball, 1st against the Slider, 22nd against the curve, and 19th against the change. All of this to say Bibee has a favorable matchup, and the dawgs slash .256/.331/.430 against lefties, which Cole Ragans happens to be.



Texas Rangers @ Baltimore Orioles(-1.5)

DK +130

FD +132


The Rangers have been miserable in June. They're slashing .227/.292/.334 and rank 256th in fWAR. The Baby Birds are slashing .277/.334/.523 in June and are 1st in fWAR. I simply do not think the Rangers can generate enough offense to hang with them without truly elite starting and relief pitching. Michael Lorenzen is good, but a lefty against a team slashing .266/.328/.470 against lefties is not great. Baltimore is 48-34 ATS and I will keep riding them,



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