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Best Bet 5/21/2024

Writer: Mason DalleyMason Dalley

Baltimore Orioles(-1.5) @ St. Louis Cardinals

DK +102

FD +102

MLB Best Bet Season Record: 31-38

Gunnar
Baltimore Sun


Lance Lynn no longer has his best stuff. He has a 4.39 ERA and 4.33 FIP. The WHIP is up to 1.48 and I can't think of many teams that will punish allowing runners at a high rate more than Baltimore. Baltimore hammers the fatball and has 34.5% of their hits off of various types of fastballs. That isn't great when according Baseball Savant , Lynn throws either a 4SEAM, Cutter, or Sinker a combined 86.4% of the time, of which hitters have an average BA and Slug of .258 and .459 respectively. The lack of any ability to show effective off-speed or breaking pitches is catching up to ole Lance Lynn, which is why Baltimore is my Best Bet.



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