Xavier(-2.5) vs Texas
DK -120
FD -118
MCBB Best Bet Season Record: 44-32-0

This is a home game for Xavier. The University of Dayton is only an hour drive from Xavier. This along with the stylistic matchup. The Musketeers are great at shooting 3's and they make their free throws. The Longhorns allow nearly 10 3s a game and send teams to the free throw line about 22 games. Xavier defensively funnels everything into the midrange and only allows 16 free throws per game.
I also don't think teams that go 19-15 should ever be in tournament consideration, regardless of conference prestige. Musketeers all the way for the best bet.
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